Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.149996 4.478130 4.830516 5.238923 5.701548 6.212088 6.821953
2025-03-23 3.656923 4.121665 4.655539 5.321979 6.142929 7.136756 8.456065
2025-03-30 3.246467 3.759232 4.373924 5.179708 6.231308 7.592582 9.552427
2025-04-06 2.952215 3.486932 4.148581 5.048969 6.278833 7.960787 10.557347
2025-04-13 2.726803 3.271745 3.963406 4.933927 6.311391 8.287208 11.536237
2025-04-20 2.565656 3.121510 3.843205 4.884479 6.415987 8.715302 12.741410
2025-04-27 2.485844 3.068708 3.843790 4.996065 6.758521 9.544764 14.798968
2025-05-04 2.416340 3.022533 3.846485 5.106067 7.106003 10.432445 17.203397
2025-05-11 2.317224 2.927997 3.772322 5.091579 7.249807 10.992674 19.127855
2025-05-18 2.226009 2.838172 3.697325 5.066666 7.369514 11.524235 21.157092
2025-05-25 2.110037 2.706708 3.552769 4.919722 7.263104 11.611244 22.182064
2025-06-01 2.013764 2.598569 3.436188 4.807811 7.204712 11.780705 23.471069
2025-06-08 1.938512 2.521288 3.367309 4.778074 7.308949 12.337010 26.139705
2025-06-15 1.895523 2.489582 3.366555 4.862805 7.639047 13.452138 31.086104
2025-06-22 1.807614 2.386689 3.249359 4.739825 7.557815 13.638222 33.221857
2025-06-29 1.728692 2.293562 3.142147 4.625470 7.479804 13.817585 35.475440
2025-07-06 1.658781 2.210886 3.046895 4.524567 7.416695 14.021107 37.988553
2025-07-13 1.606131 2.152153 2.986662 4.481145 7.465977 14.518368 42.134377
2025-07-20 1.586092 2.142307 3.004329 4.579098 7.823897 15.914954 51.919382
2025-07-27 1.566678 2.132293 3.020731 4.675522 8.192389 17.459844 64.996364
2025-08-03 1.527874 2.090094 2.981182 4.662831 8.313643 18.317134 75.498861
2025-08-10 1.489751 2.047433 2.938640 4.641000 8.410969 19.133546 87.585582
2025-08-17 1.434856 1.976143 2.844393 4.512098 8.239284 19.026895 91.739874